A new Angeleno. Los Angeles Almanac Photo.
Also see: Racial/Ethnic Populations for Los Angeles County, Since 1990 Census
Between 2023 population estimates and population projections for 2070, Los Angeles County is projected to lose a little more than 10 percent of its population, or about one million people. That would equal losing more than a quarter of the population of the city of Los Angeles. The loss of one million people would also equal losing the combined populations of Long Beach, Santa Clarita, Glendale, Lancaster, Palmdale, Pomona, Torrance, Pasadena and Downey.
The single largest projected loss among the county’s racial/ethnic groups is more than 560,000 White, non-Hispanic people, or about 20 percent of that population today. Following that would be more than 212,000 Hispanic people, or almost 8 percent of that population today. The third largest loss would be more than 137,000 Black, non-Hispanic people, or 16 percent of that population today.
Only the American Indian/Native Alaskan, Multi-Racial and Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander populations are currently projected to show growth between 2023 and 2070. It should be noted that these projections do change when periodically updated, sometimes dramatically.
Projections Made July 2024
| Race/Ethnicity | 2023† | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Population | Number | 9,825,708 | 9,723,289 | 9,693,049 | 9,552,998 | 9,222,688 | 8,770,670 |
| American Indian & Alaskan Native* | Number | 21,809 | 24,133 | 25,504 | 26,256 | 26,515 | 27,182 |
| Percent | 0.22% | 0.25% | 0.26% | 0.27% | 0.29% | 0.31% | |
| Race/Ethnicity | 2023† | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 | |
| Asian* | Number | 1,637,181 | 1,649,386 | 1,643,836 | 1,623,424 | 1,574,722 | 1,510,834 |
| Percent | 16.66% | 16.96% | 16.96% | 16.99% | 17.07% | 17.23% | |
| Black* | Number | 840,522 | 866,045 | 862,707 | 831,212 | 770,124 | 703,351 |
| Percent | 8.55% | 8.91% | 8.90% | 8.70% | 8.35% | 8.02% | |
| Race/Ethnicity | 2023† | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 | |
| Native Hawaiian & other Pacific Islander* | Number | 24,396 | 25,959 | 27,177 | 27,231 | 26,407 | 25,018 |
| Percent | 0.25% | 0.27% | 0.28% | 0.29% | 0.29% | 0.29% | |
| White* | Number | 2,879,168 | 2,909,621 | 2,816,035 | 2,674,215 | 2,498,677 | 2,317,713 |
| Percent | 29.30% | 29.92% | 29.05% | 27.99% | 27.09% | 26.43% | |
| Race/Ethnicity | 2023† | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 | |
| Multiracial* | Number | 333,522 | 356,746 | 380,682 | 403,983 | 412,851 | 409,609 |
| Percent | 3.39% | 3.67% | 3.93% | 4.23% | 4.48% | 4.67% | |
| Hispanic or Latino (All Races) | Number | 4,089,110 | 3,891,399 | 3,937,108 | 3,966,677 | 3,913,392 | 3,776,963 |
| Percent | 41.62% | 40.02% | 40.62% | 41.52% | 42.43% | 43.06% |
* Not Hispanic or Latino
† California Demographic Research Unit estimate for 2023
Source: California Dept. of Finance
Percentages are population projection differences from previous column. Projections Made July 2024
| County | 2023† | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles | 9,784,023 --- |
9,723,289 -1.0% |
9,693,049 -0.3% |
9,552,998 -1.4% |
9,222,688 -3.5% |
8,770,670 -4.9% |
| Orange | 3,142,387 --- |
3,193,151 +1.6% |
3,244,826 +1.6% |
3,235,275 -0.3% |
3,144,158 -2.8% |
3,014,510 -4.1% |
| Ventura | 825,322 --- |
825,140 -0.1% |
824,887 +0.0% |
811,756 -1.6% |
783,420 -3.5% |
761,328 -2.8% |
| Kern | 904,430 --- |
917,264 +1.5% |
945,369 +3.1% |
953,653 +0.9% |
937,340 -1.7% |
907,416 -3.2% |
| County | 2023† | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 |
| San Bernardino | 2,180,503 --- |
2,246,812 +3.5% |
2,329,399 +3.7% |
2,369,443 +1.7% |
2,350,703 -0.8% |
2,294,670 -2.4% |
| Riverside | 2,441,474 --- |
2,516,026 +3.5% |
2,680,111 +6.5% |
2,811,880 +4.9% |
2,884,131 +2.6% |
2,925,986 +1.5% |
| San Diego | 3,310,718 --- |
3,398,739 +3.1% |
3,481,551 +2.4% |
3,511,815 +0.9% |
3,482,714 -0.8% |
3,391,909 -2.6% |
| Santa Barbara | 446,729 --- |
465,218 +5.1% |
480,299 +3.2% |
490,268 +2.1% |
495,852 +1.1% |
500,103 +0.9% |
† California Demographic Research Unit estimate for 2023
Source: California Dept. of Finance
