Also see: Racial/Ethnic Populations for Los Angeles County, Since 1990 Census
Between 2024 population estimates and population projections for 2070, Los Angeles County is projected to lose 10 percent of its population, or one million people. That would equal the loss more than a quarter of the population of the city of Los Angeles. The loss of one million people would also equal the loss of the combined populations of Long Beach, Santa Clarita, Glendale, Lancaster, Palmdale, Pomona, Torrance, Pasadena and Downey.
The single largest projected loss among the county’s racial/ethnic groups is more than 570,000 White, non-Hispanic people, or 20 percent of that population today. Following that would be more than 255,000 Hispanic people, or six percent of that population today. The third largest loss would be more than 125,000 Asian, non-Hispanic people, or 8 percent of that population today.
Only the American Indian/Native Alaskan, Multi-Racial and Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander populations are currently projected to show growth between 2024 and 2070. It should be noted that these projections do change when periodically updated, sometimes dramatically.
Projections Made July 2024
Race/Ethnicity | 2024† | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Population | Number | 9,784,023 | 9,723,289 | 9,693,049 | 9,552,998 | 9,222,688 | 8,770,670 |
American Indian/ Alaskan Native* | Number | 22,197 | 24,133 | 25,504 | 26,256 | 26,515 | 27,182 |
Percent | 0.23% | 0.25% | 0.26% | 0.27% | 0.29% | 0.31% | |
Race/Ethnicity | 2024† | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 | |
Asian* | Number | 1,636,211 | 1,649,386 | 1,643,836 | 1,623,424 | 1,574,722 | 1,510,834 |
Percent | 16.72% | 16.96% | 16.96% | 16.99% | 17.07% | 17.23% | |
Black* | Number | 843,921 | 866,045 | 862,707 | 831,212 | 770,124 | 703,351 |
Percent | 8.63% | 8.91% | 8.90% | 8.70% | 8.35% | 8.02% | |
Race/Ethnicity | 2024† | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 | |
Native Hawaiian/ Pacific Islander* | Number | 24,589 | 25,959 | 27,177 | 27,231 | 26,407 | 25,018 |
Percent | 0.25% | 0.27% | 0.28% | 0.29% | 0.29% | 0.29% | |
White* | Number | 2,887,740 | 2,909,621 | 2,816,035 | 2,674,215 | 2,498,677 | 2,317,713 |
Percent | 29.51% | 29.92% | 29.05% | 27.99% | 27.09% | 26.43% | |
Race/Ethnicity | 2024† | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 | |
Multi-Racial* | Number | 336,726 | 356,746 | 380,682 | 403,983 | 412,851 | 409,609 |
Percent | 3.44% | 3.67% | 3.93% | 4.23% | 4.48% | 4.67% | |
Hispanic or Latino (All Races) | Number | 4,032,639 | 3,891,399 | 3,937,108 | 3,966,677 | 3,913,392 | 3,776,963 |
Percent | 41.22% | 40.02% | 40.62% | 41.52% | 42.43% | 43.06% |
* Not Hispanic or Latino
† California Demographic Research Unit estimate for 2024
Source: California Dept. of Finance
Percentages are population projection differences from previous column. Projections Made July 2024
County | 2024† | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles | 9,784,023 --- |
9,723,289 -0.6% |
9,693,049 -0.3% |
9,552,998 -1.4% |
9,222,688 -3.5% |
8,770,670 -4.9% |
Orange | 3,142,387 --- |
3,193,151 +1.6% |
3,244,826 +1.6% |
3,235,275 -0.3% |
3,144,158 -2.8% |
3,014,510 -4.1% |
Ventura | 825,322 --- |
825,140 +0.0% |
824,887 +0.0% |
811,756 -1.6% |
783,420 -3.5% |
761,328 -2.8% |
Kern | 904,430 --- |
917,264 +1.4% |
945,369 +3.1% |
953,653 +0.9% |
937,340 -1.7% |
907,416 -3.2% |
County | 2024† | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 |
San Bernardino | 2,180,503 --- |
2,246,812 +3.0% |
2,329,399 +3.7% |
2,369,443 +1.7% |
2,350,703 -0.8% |
2,294,670 -2.4% |
Riverside | 2,441,474 --- |
2,516,026 +3.1% |
2,680,111 +6.5% |
2,811,880 +4.9% |
2,884,131 +2.6% |
2,925,986 +1.5% |
San Diego | 3,310,718 --- |
3,398,739 +2.7% |
3,481,551 +2.4% |
3,511,815 +0.9% |
3,482,714 -0.8% |
3,391,909 -2.6% |
Santa Barbara | 446,729 --- |
465,218 +4.1% |
480,299 +3.2% |
490,268 +2.1% |
495,852 +1.1% |
500,103 +0.9% |
† California Demographic Research Unit estimate for 2024
Source: California Dept. of Finance